Written by Michael Carter.
Former President Donald Trump has achieved a significant lead over President Joe Biden, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports poll released on June 20. The survey reveals that Trump now holds a double-digit advantage over Biden, indicating a potential shift in the political landscape.
In a direct contest, Trump leads Biden 49 percent to 40 percent, establishing a solid 9-point margin. This lead expands even further when independent candidates Jill Stein, Cornell West, and Robert Kennedy Jr. are included. In this scenario, Trump defeats Biden 46 percent to 36 percent, pushing his lead into double digits.
During the Faith & Freedom Coalition’s annual Road to Majority conference this past weekend, Trump encouraged his supporters to turn out in large numbers. As Fox News reported, Trump emphasized the importance of voting: “The evangelicals and the Christians, they don’t vote as much as they should. I don’t know if you know that,” he told the attendees. He added, “You know they go to church every Sunday, but they don’t vote, and we have to make sure they vote just this time, because all you have to do is this time.”
Biden’s Waning Support Among Key Demographics
President Biden’s approval ratings are sinking among crucial Democratic voting blocs, including women, as highlighted by a New York Times polling analysis published this week. This analysis points to growing concerns about Biden’s reelection prospects amid rising living costs.
Biden’s approval rating with women is now at its lowest point for a Democratic presidential candidate since the 2004 election, during which President George W. Bush secured reelection against John Kerry. The analysis underscores the significant challenges Biden faces, particularly among female voters who play a vital role in the Democratic vote. These voters often make the majority of household purchasing decisions, and their shift in political preferences is notable. Four years ago, Biden had a 13-point lead over Trump among women. However, recent polling indicates Trump now leads by eight points, a 21-point swing according to the New York Times’s average from over 30 polls since January, as cited by Breitbart News.
Soaring costs under Biden’s administration have profoundly impacted how women perceive him, especially among black and Hispanic women. The Times noted that Biden’s current struggles with these groups are particularly striking. In the KFF survey, Biden leads among black women by 58 percentage points, a significant drop from his 86-point margin before the 2020 election. His lead among Hispanic women has also diminished to about 12 points. Overall, the survey shows Biden’s lead among women is a mere four points.
Economic Concerns and Shifting Voter Preferences
Inflation remains a dominant concern for many voters, particularly black and Hispanic women. Surveys indicate that nearly 60 percent of black women in Michigan and a similar share of Hispanic women in Arizona consider inflation the most critical issue influencing their vote. This concern surpasses all other issues for these voters.
According to the Kaiser Family Foundation, twice as many women reported being better off financially under President Trump compared to the current administration. Young women, a crucial demographic for Democrats, were nearly three times more likely to say they fared better financially under Trump than under Biden. Interestingly, 41 percent of young women reported no difference in their financial situation under either administration. Similarly, half of black women noticed no significant financial change between the two presidencies, the Times reported.
Trump’s rising support among women mirrors his overall increase in support among black and Hispanic voters. Some surveys suggest he is garnering more support from these demographics than any Republican presidential candidate since Nixon in the early 1960s.
While Biden and his administration continue to promote their economic policies under the banner of “Bidenomics,” many Americans are finding it hard to agree. For a growing number, the sentiment is clear: life was much better under Trump.
Our Take
The data is undeniably concerning for President Biden and his team. If current trends continue, it seems likely that more Americans will feel disillusioned with his administration’s economic policies. Rising costs and a perceived decline in living standards are powerful motivators that could significantly influence the next election. This shift is particularly evident among women, who are traditionally a strong Democratic voting bloc. If the party fails to address these issues, the consequences could be far-reaching.
