Written by Daniel Walker.
Tensions in Tehran, Iran, escalate following the IRGC’s direct assault on Tel Aviv, Israel. The world awaits the next military move from either side, praying the start of World War 3 does not begin, especially since nuclear weapons are on the table.
Growing Domestic Opposition in Iran
In the wake of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) launching over 300 drones and missiles at Israel, a substantial segment of the Iranian populace is expressing vehement opposition to what they perceive as reckless military actions by their leaders. A letter to BBC Persian, signed by numerous Iranian activists both domestically and globally, openly denounced the IRGC’s aggressive posture, declaring an emphatic “No to warmongering!”
Public Sentiment Against Conflict
The increase in military activity has not gone unnoticed by the Iranian public, with many seeing this escalation as government-driven rather than a reflection of the people’s will. This perception is further magnified by a heavy police presence in Tehran, officially meant to enforce strict Islamic dress codes but suspected by many to suppress potential dissent.
Fear of Reprisals and Protests
Concerns among some Iranian decision-makers suggest that retaliatory strikes on Iranian security installations could spark another wave of nationwide protests similar to those in 2022. This unrest was initially triggered by the tragic death of a young woman while in police custody. Recent graffiti in various cities underscores the public’s frustration, with messages provoking Israel to strike specific government targets.
Government and Public Reactions
Following the IRGC’s attack, there were celebrations among supporters of the Islamic Republic, with banners displaying provocative messages towards Israel. Conversely, some Iranians communicated to BBC Persian their critical views of the regime, emphasizing a lack of animosity towards nations such as Israel and expressing fears over a potential broader conflict.
Economic Strains Intensify
Iran’s economy, already weakened by sanctions and mismanagement, faces further turmoil from ongoing military tensions. The Iranian rial’s depreciation continues, exacerbating inflation, which officially exceeds 40%, and placing immense pressure on everyday Iranians. The populace is bracing for potential price increases across a wide range of goods, including essential items like food and fuel.
Media and Public Discourse
Iranian media’s coverage varies, with some outlets praising the IRGC’s actions as demonstrations of Iran’s strength, while others call for a de-escalation of regional tensions. Online discussions are equally split, with hashtags both supporting and condemning the IRGC’s actions, reflecting a divided public opinion on Iran’s military strategies.
Our Take
The recent actions by the IRGC, sanctioned by the Iranian government, show a troubling disregard for the economic and social welfare of the Iranian people, who are already suffering under the strain of international sanctions and domestic policies that prioritize military engagement over economic stability. It is crucial for the global community to recognize and respond to these provocations with a unified and measured approach that seeks to stabilize the region and support the Iranian public’s desire for peace and prosperity.
